Thursday, March 20, 2008

GOP: Hillary or Obama weaker?

The ground is shifting among political professionals on the GOP side. The orthodoxy has been that Hillary Clinton would be the easier candidate to beat in November. After all, her negatives in most polls approach 50%, and with all the baggage from her husband Bubba, she would be easier to run against. That's why conservative talk radio stars like Rush Limbaugh and Laura Ingraham have been pushing Republicans in cross-over primary states to vote for Hillary, since the GOP race has been decided for quite a while.

This has made sense, to date, to keep her in the race and disrupt the Democratic nominating process to the maximum extent possible. With good luck, delegates will arrive in Denver in August not knowing who the nominee will be, and there will be bloody backroom shenanigans that cause an impaled, wounded candidate to be nominated, representing an irretrievably divided party entering the fall election.

Now the conventional wisdom has changed. With the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, Obama's pastor for the last 20 years, drawing fire for his racist, anti-American, anti-Israel, pro-Arab views, the thinking is that Obama would be an even weaker candidate come November than Hillary. However brilliantly crafted Obama's big address on race in Philadelphia was this week, it has injected race as an issue squarely into the middle of the campaign, probably to his detriment.

With all the juicy audio and video footage of Wright, shouting venom at the top of his lungs, available to Republicans this fall, many are licking their lips, salivating at the prospect of running against Obama. The next JFK has suddenly been brought down a few notches, to the level of just one more vote-grubbing politician.

Is this fun to watch, or what?

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